ASX Gains Despite Rate Cut Speculations and Job Surge

Markets are abuzz with expectations of an imminent interest rate cut in Australia, despite a surprising surge in job numbers. The ASX closed with minor fluctuations, supported by gains in the financial sector while mining and energy sectors saw losses. Analysts predict multiple rate cuts by year-end despite the positive jobs data.

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The ASX finished slightly higher, led by the financial sector’s gains of 1.1%. Notable performers included GrainCorp Ltd, with an 8.81% price growth, and IAG, which closed 5.7% higher. However, NRW Holdings experienced a significant share price tumble of 8.28% due to potential legislative impacts.

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Volvo’s announcement to manufacture electric trucks in Australia has garnered attention, signaling a new era for local manufacturing. The company plans to produce a third of the trucks in Australia, emphasizing sustainability and suitability for the country’s conditions.

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Amidst the rate cut speculations, economists caution borrowers to not expect aggressive cuts, citing the strong labor market as a key factor. The Reserve Bank’s decision next week will be crucial, with expectations of a quarter-point cut. The global economic outlook and trade uncertainties are also influencing the rate cut predictions.

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Accounting software firm Xero reported robust financial results for FY25, showing double-digit growth in revenue and subscriber base. The company’s positive performance aligns with market expectations, and analysts anticipate increased investment in the US market to capitalize on growth opportunities.

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An economist warns that while the job market remains strong, borrowers should anticipate fewer rate cuts in the future. The Reserve Bank’s upcoming decisions will be closely monitored, with implications for the broader economic landscape. The bond market’s signaling and job market dynamics are shaping expectations around interest rate adjustments.

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Despite the positive job creation figures, the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.1%. Female employment saw significant growth, contributing to the rise in the employment-to-population ratio. The participation rate increased, reflecting a dynamic labor market scenario.

Regulatory concerns have emerged in the financial sector, with AUSTRAC ordering an external audit for Mercedes Benz Financial Services Australia. The agency highlighted compliance issues related to anti-money laundering laws, emphasizing the need for stringent measures in the non-bank lending sector to prevent criminal activities.

The electric vehicle market witnessed substantial growth globally, with 17 million EVs sold in 2024, representing a significant portion of total vehicle sales. China led this growth trend, while affordability and market conditions influenced sales in different regions, showcasing the evolving landscape of sustainable transportation.

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